South Africa v Australia tips & odds | 2025 WTC final preview

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South Africa v Australia World Test Championship Final Odds & Match Info
Best odds	South Africa +160 at Stake.com
When	Starts Wednesday, June 11 – 10:30am BST
Where	Lord’s – London, England

Best bets for WTC final

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World Test Championship final preview: South Africa v Australia

Cricket betting sites have South Africa as heavy underdogs for their clash with Australia in the World Test Championship final, which kicks off at Lord’s this Wednesday.

But while the Proteas might be paying long odds of +260 at Stake.com, recent history suggests that number should be a lot shorter.

Since 2011, they have saluted in nine of 18 Test matches against the Aussies, who have only won seven in that span; and while South Africa were well beaten on their last tour down under, this team has come a long way since 2023.

The outsiders come into the WTC final on a run of seven consecutive victories in Test matches, covering series wins against the West Indies, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Pakistan.

Australia’s form is also strong, with only two defeats in their last 14 Tests.

That run includes series victories over India and New Zealand — something the South Africans couldn’t manage last year.

Pat Cummins and co. head to London off a resounding 2-0 victory in Sri Lanka in February, and online bookmakers have them pegged at short odds of -263.16 to defend their World Test Championship title.

Both teams boast strong bowling attacks and have some questions to answer around their batting, so it shapes to be a fascinating matchup.

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South Africa team news

The Proteas are expected to make a couple of changes to the side that thrashed Pakistan back in January. Lungi Ngidi will replace Kwena Maphaka in the pace attack, while Kagiso Rabada is free to play after serving a suspension. Captain Temba Bavuma and middle-order bat David Bedingham have both been cleared after injury scares.

South Africa’s expected XI:

• Aiden Markram
• Ryan Rickleton
• Tristan Stubbs
• Temba Bavuma (C)
• David Bedingham
• Kyle Verreynne (wk)
• Wiaan Mulder
• Marco Jansen
• Keshav Maharaj
• Kagiso Rabada
• Lungi Ngidi

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Australia team news

Veteran seamer Josh Hazlewood returns to the fold following a stellar IPL campaign, leaving Australia with a selection conundrum after Scott Boland starred against India last summer. Cameron Green is fit again and expected to bat at three, with the under-pressure Marnus Labuschagne moving to the top of the order. That means no space for Sam Konstas, while Beau Webster adds allround at six.

Australia’s expected XI:

• Usman Khawaja
• Marnus Labuschagne
• Cameron Green
• Steve Smith
• Travis Head
• Beau Webster
• Alex Carey
• Pat Cummins
• Mitchell Starc
• Nathan Lyon
• Josh Hazlewood

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2025 WTC final betting predictions

While you could argue the cricket betting odds for this match should be a bit tighter, it is hard to make a case for South Africa on a man-for-man basis. Australia simply have too many players who have been there and done it before on the big stage, while they’ve had a much tougher run to the final than the Proteas have. Load up on the Aussies at -263.16 with Stake.com.

Travis Head has a knack of turning up in the big games. The hard-hitting lefty was the hero when Australia won the WTC title two years ago, smacking 163 in a dominant victory over India. There is plenty of money coming for Steve Smith on the back of his excellent record at Lord’s, meaning Head offers great value to top the scoring for the Aussies in the first innings.

South Africa, like Australia, are blessed with fast-bowling talent, but Marco Jansen could be the main danger on this occasion. Tall seamers who generate plenty of bounce off good lengths tend to do well at Lord’s, and the 206cm left-armer certainly fits that bill. At +235 with Stake.com, Jansen is good value to be the Proteas’ top wicket-taker in the first innings.